I would suggest that the democrat staying home is more about what is going well that doing a bad job. In smaller organization it became clear to me that when people are doing well, they do not turn out for votes. The economic indicators this year look good... GDP is up, inflation has been down for 18 months, interest rates easing, business starts are strong, market returns are strong, unemployment is low, wages have been increasing more than inflation.
While that may not be felt by everyone - yet - it is an overall picture of what is going well, and when things go well people are not coming out to vote. So perhaps the nut to crack is how to motivate voters when they feel like things are going well. With a national % of around 1.7% difference from Trump to Harris, turnout is everything. Paul Weyrich back in 1980 made it clear that the way to govern by minority is about getting a specific group to vote, to motivate them with single simple issue concerns and overall have less turnout. That seems to ring true in 2024 and project 2025 is now getting the impetus they are sought.
It’s an interesting theory that people stayed home because they were content. It means they would have disregarded messaging that being complacent could mean the end of democracy. Also, if people are content, don’t they want that to keep going under the same leaders?
when people do well, they tune out. similar happens when people buy products they are happy with. If they are unhappy, they post on forums and leave feedback, otherwise they go on with their life. Some survey data on this could be revealing and perhaps less about winning the last election and more about winning the future then
I would suggest that the democrat staying home is more about what is going well that doing a bad job. In smaller organization it became clear to me that when people are doing well, they do not turn out for votes. The economic indicators this year look good... GDP is up, inflation has been down for 18 months, interest rates easing, business starts are strong, market returns are strong, unemployment is low, wages have been increasing more than inflation.
While that may not be felt by everyone - yet - it is an overall picture of what is going well, and when things go well people are not coming out to vote. So perhaps the nut to crack is how to motivate voters when they feel like things are going well. With a national % of around 1.7% difference from Trump to Harris, turnout is everything. Paul Weyrich back in 1980 made it clear that the way to govern by minority is about getting a specific group to vote, to motivate them with single simple issue concerns and overall have less turnout. That seems to ring true in 2024 and project 2025 is now getting the impetus they are sought.
It’s an interesting theory that people stayed home because they were content. It means they would have disregarded messaging that being complacent could mean the end of democracy. Also, if people are content, don’t they want that to keep going under the same leaders?
when people do well, they tune out. similar happens when people buy products they are happy with. If they are unhappy, they post on forums and leave feedback, otherwise they go on with their life. Some survey data on this could be revealing and perhaps less about winning the last election and more about winning the future then